Indonesia is projected to experience a normal wet season in 2026, the Meteorology, Climatology, and Geophysics Agency (BMKG) announced Tuesday. This outlook contrasts with the unusually heavy rainfall that affected many regions in 2025.
BMKG officials said that the La Niña phenomenon, which typically brings above-average rainfall, is expected to be weaker in early 2026 and should subside by the first quarter of the year. This change means that rainfall and climate conditions across the country are likely to return to long-term averages.
A more typical wet season is expected to benefit agriculture, particularly for crops such as palm oil, sugarcane, and tobacco, by allowing farmers to better plan harvesting and logistics.
The dry season is anticipated to begin around June 2026, but authorities have been advised to prepare for rainfall during the dry season and potential air quality concerns caused by industrial emissions and fire-prone areas issues reminiscent of past seasons affected by El Niño.
According to BMKG’s technical forecast, while annual rainfall will vary by region, most areas are expected to receive precipitation within normal ranges. The moderate La Niña influence early in the year will transition to neutral conditions, supporting a return to standard seasonal patterns.
For farmers, businesses, and residents alike, the 2026 forecast brings a sense of predictability and stability following last year’s extreme weather events. Visit www.jocomms.com for more news.