Despite repeated claims that there are no longer “small teams” in modern football, several matchups in Africa still carry a strong David-versus-Goliath narrative. Few fixtures fit that description more closely than Monday’s Africa Cup of Nations round-of-16 clash between Nigeria and Mozambique.
Three-time African champions Nigeria head into their first knockout fixture of the 2025 AFCON as clear favourites against Mozambique, a side with far less pedigree on the continental stage. The Super Eagles’ stature contrasts sharply with that of the Mambas, who only recently secured their first-ever AFCON victory and are making just their sixth appearance at the tournament.
Historical records further underline the imbalance. In previous meetings with Nigeria, Mozambique have failed to record a single win, managing four draws and suffering 11 defeats, while scoring 12 goals and conceding 38.
Nigeria, by contrast, remain one of Africa’s most successful national teams and share the record with Egypt for the highest number of top-four finishes in AFCON history. Their experience and depth make them heavy favourites to progress.
However, Mozambique arrive with growing confidence after recording notable milestones at this year’s tournament, including a landmark victory over Gabon. Another shock, though unlikely, would rank among the greatest upsets in AFCON history if the Mambas were to eliminate Nigeria.
As anticipation builds ahead of the encounter, attention now turns to the key battles and storylines that could shape the outcome of this intriguing knockout contest.
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