U.S. corn crops are developing well this season, with crop condition ratings holding steady at strong levels. However, the pace of corn silking is trailing just behind the historical average, raising moderate concern as critical development stages approach.
Corn Silking Progress Behind Pace
According to the latest USDA Crop Progress Report (week ending July 20), 56% of the nation’s corn crop has reached the silking stage 2 percentage points below the five-year average of 58%. While the slight delay isn’t alarming, agronomists note that prolonged setbacks in silking can affect pollination and, ultimately, yield.
On a positive note, 14% of corn has entered the dough stage, ahead of the 12% five-year average, signaling strong progression in key areas despite the silking delay.
Crop Conditions Remain Excellent
Crop health remains a bright spot this season. USDA ratings show:
74% of corn is in good-to-excellent condition
20% is rated fair
Only 6% falls into poor-to-very-poor condition
Soybeans are also performing well, with 62% blooming (near the 63% average), and 26% setting pods. Around 68% of soybeans are rated good-to-excellent.
Strong Regional Performance
Iowa, the nation’s top corn producing state, is leading development:
62% of corn silking
18% in the dough stage
86% of corn and 80% of soybeans rated good-to-excellent
Recent reports note some surplus moisture in fields, but no major concerns have been raised.
In Ohio, 40% of corn is silking, with 6% in the dough stage. Crop conditions are consistent with national averages.
Outlook: Record Yields Possible, Prices Under Pressure
Market analysts are optimistic about record-breaking yields, estimating corn at 184 bushels per acre above the USDA trendline of 181 bpa. The national crop condition index sits at 4.07 out of 5, one of the highest this season.
However, optimism is weighing heavily on markets. Chicago corn futures recently fell to 19-year inflation-adjusted lows, as traders factor in a potential bumper harvest.
Weather Risks Still in Play
While conditions have been largely favorable, concerns remain:
Storm damage in pockets of Iowa may impact localized yields
Upcoming heatwaves during the grain-fill stage could stress crops
Still, short-term forecasts point to mostly supportive weather through the end of July.
Bottom Line: Despite a slight lag in corn silking, U.S. crops are on track for a strong season with high yield potential and excellent overall health. All eyes are now on weather patterns in the coming weeks as markets respond to the possibility of another record-setting harvest.
