US President Donald Trump’s unexpected military action against Venezuela has ignited international debate over whether the move could embolden China’s leader, Xi Jinping, to consider a similar operation against Taiwan.

Analysts note that any military escalation in the Taiwan Strait would come at a far higher cost than Washington’s action in Venezuela. A strike on Taiwan could trigger extensive Western sanctions, disrupt global supply chains and deliver a severe shock to China’s economy, given Taiwan’s strategic importance and the scale of international stakes involved.

In the immediate aftermath of the Venezuela incident, Beijing’s response appeared calculated to project calm and restraint rather than confrontation. Chinese officials signalled a desire to position the country as a source of global stability, with President Xi describing China as a “peace-loving, open-minded and inclusive” nation.

Observers say China’s measured tone suggests Beijing is keen to reassure the international community and avoid actions that could provoke economic or diplomatic backlash, even as geopolitical tensions remain high.

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